The Zensei Index reads structural, tactical, and regime signals across the market and distills them into a single live score — so you always know whether conditions favor risk or caution.
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One score, from low risk to high risk. Updated live.
Dozens of signals. Three layers of analysis. One live reading, from risk-off to risk-on. Glance at it and you know the market's posture.
The slow-moving forces that set the stage — real yields, credit, policy, liquidity, and appetite. Get these wrong and nothing else matters.
How much real return equities offer after inflation. High means a real cushion versus the inflation backdrop; low or negative means you're paying a lot for earnings and duration risk is rising.
The direction and force of central-bank liquidity — the tide under every asset. A negative impulse is a headwind, especially when other fragility signals are present.
The inflation-adjusted return on cash. Very positive means restrictive — higher hurdle rates, pressure on leverage, valuation-compression risk. Negative means accommodative.
Real borrowing costs across high-yield and investment-grade credit. Tight spreads signal supportive financing; widening spreads often precede equity weakness as credit tightens.
Markets reveal risk preference through leadership. Tech leading staples signals confidence; sustained defensive outperformance is an early warning of caution.
Fast filters that catch dislocations the structural layer can't see yet — the difference between last week's regime and this morning's.
Short-term vs medium-term implied volatility. When short-dated vol exceeds longer-dated (inversion), the market is pricing immediate, unexpected risk — a clean read on hedging urgency.
Unusually sharp moves within a single session — a proxy for forced selling and deleveraging. When it fires right after a vol spike, fear is turning into actual liquidation.
Independent signals that prove the regime is real — so you act on what the market is doing, not what you hope it's doing.
Whether volatility persists rather than spiking briefly. Sustained high VIX reflects deeper uncertainty and tends to extend drawdowns; calm VIX confirms a stable tape.
Whether the market has broken its long-term trend with negative momentum. A sustained break is the tape accepting lower prices — a confirmation, not a forecast.
Whether volatility outperforms other major assets across multiple windows. Persistent vol leadership marks systemic stress; isolated vol means stress is contained.
Every signal updates continuously through the session. No manual refresh, no end-of-day lag, no waiting for a newsletter.