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Zensei
Methodology

How Zensei measures market leadership

Every number on Zensei is computed from market prices with the rules documented on this page — what we measure, against what benchmark, and what every label means. If a chart shows it, you can read here what it is telling you.

01 — Data

What we ingest, and how often

Zensei tracks 100+ sector, industry, thematic, commodity and bond ETFs plus the S&P 500 benchmark (SPY). For each we ingest daily adjusted closing prices, hourly prices, and company fundamentals such as price-to-earnings and price-to-sales ratios.

Analytics are recomputed every hour during market operation. Public previews (like the free rotation chart) are served from a snapshot refreshed daily; the in-app experience uses the hourly data directly.

02 — Spreads

Rate of change, measured against the market

The core building block is the rate of change (ROC): the percentage move of an adjusted close over a fixed calendar window. We compute it over six windows, from one week to one year (1W, 2W, 1M, 3M, 6M and 1Y) — the same windows you can switch between on every chart.

A sector's spread is its ROC minus the S&P 500's ROC over the same window. A +2.0 one-month spread means the sector beat the market by two percentage points over that month. Rising price alone never counts as leadership — only outperformance does.

03 — Rotation map

Two windows, four quadrants

The rotation map plots every sector on two spread windows at once. The vertical axis is the current short-window spread (default: 1M). The horizontal axis is the longer window, shifted back in time so the two windows don't overlap. That shift is what makes rotation visible — you see where a sector's leadership was versus where it is now, instead of two blurred readings of the same recent move.

LeadingPositive on both windows

Outperforming the S&P 500 in the recent window and in the longer, time-shifted window — established leadership.

ImprovingRecent positive, longer window negative

Was behind the market, but the recent window has turned positive — potential rotation into leadership.

WeakeningRecent negative, longer window positive

Led over the longer window, but the recent window has turned negative — leadership losing energy.

LaggingNegative on both windows

Underperforming the S&P 500 across both windows — the market is not rewarding this group.

04 — Relative strength

The RS line and its health

Relative strength (RS) is the ratio of a symbol's price to the benchmark's price, computed on hourly data. When the line rises, the symbol is outperforming; when it falls, it is lagging — regardless of what the price chart alone suggests.

We smooth the RS line with a stack of moving averages, from short to long-term, and classify its health from where RS sits relative to them:

StrongThe RS line is trading above its moving averages — the outperformance trend is fully intact
HoldingThe RS line is holding around its averages — trend intact, but no longer extending
FadingThe RS line has slipped below its averages — the outperformance trend is fading
BrokenThe RS line is below its long-term average — the long-term trend is no longer intact
MixedNot enough history, or no clear alignment across the averages
05 — Momentum

Reading the speed of a move

Spreads tell you where a sector stands; momentum tells you how fast that is changing. At the sector level we compare intraday (hourly-bar) rates of change across four lookback windows and classify the trend — strong, mixed, weakening, weak, or a short-term dip inside an intact longer-term uptrend.

At the stock level we compare spread velocity across the 1W, 2W and 1M windows (each normalised to a per-week rate) and label the pattern: accelerating, strong, cruising, pulling back, fading or weak.

06 — Limits

What Zensei is not

Zensei is an analytics tool, not a registered investment adviser, and nothing on the platform is investment advice or a recommendation. The measurements above describe the recent past; they do not predict the future, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Thresholds and window lengths are periodically recalibrated — when the methodology changes, this page changes with it.

Read the full disclaimer.

See the methodology live

The free rotation chart applies everything on this page to the 11 S&P 500 sectors, updated from live market data.