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Weakening#86 of 115 by 1M spread

Emerging Markets vs the S&P 500 (EEM): is it outperforming?

Over the past month, EEM has underperformed the S&P 500 by 5.8 points. Here is where that puts it in the sector rotation — updated daily.

1M spread vs SPY
−5.8 pts
Quadrant
Weakening
Momentum
Weakening
RS health
Broken
Holdings P/E
14.9×

Where EEM sits on the rotation map

Emerging Markets highlighted against the 11 broad S&P 500 sectors. Vertical: 1-month spread vs the S&P 500. Horizontal: the longer, time-shifted window — the methodology explains the math.

EEM vs SPY: head-to-head returns

EEM (emerging markets) and SPY (the S&P 500) side by side over every window Zensei tracks. The spread is the difference — positive means EEM won that window.

Window
EEM
SPY
Spread
1 week−4.6%−0.3%−4.3 pts
2 weeks−4.0%+2.8%−6.8 pts
1 month−4.5%+1.2%−5.8 pts
3 months+6.1%+9.5%−3.3 pts
6 months+12.7%+8.5%+4.2 pts
1 year+36.2%+21.4%+14.8 pts

Data as of 2026-07-13 · computed from daily adjusted closes · how we measure

The read

Emerging Markets (EEM) is losing its lead. It built a 3.0-point advantage over the S&P 500 across the longer, time-shifted window, but over the past month it has slipped 5.8 points behind the market — the weakening quadrant of the rotation map. Ranked by one-month spread, it currently stands #86 of the 115 groups Zensei tracks.

On the shorter tape, EEM's momentum is weakening: the intraday trend that carried the move is cooling across the shorter windows. EEM's relative-strength line has broken below its long-term average — the long-term outperformance trend is no longer intact. Both signals point the same direction here: the market is not rewarding this group on either horizon.

The exposure comes via iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF, whose 18 tracked holdings are led by NU HOLDINGS LTD ORDINARY SHARES CLASS A, PDD HOLDINGS INC ADR and ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI PLC. Weighted by portfolio, the fund's holdings trade at roughly 14.9× earnings and 3.5× sales. The thing to watch from here is whether this is a pause or a handoff: weakening groups sometimes reset and reclaim leadership, but a deepening one-month deficit usually means rotation has moved on.

What's inside EEM

Top 5 of 18 tracked holdings, by portfolio weight.

Holding
Weight
1M
NUNU HOLDINGS LTD ORDINARY SHARES CLASS A
0.4%+12.3%
PDDPDD HOLDINGS INC ADR
0.4%+3.7%
AUANGLOGOLD ASHANTI PLC
0.3%−7.6%
BAPCREDICORP LTD
0.2%+5.3%
SCCOSOUTHERN COPPER CORP
0.1%−8.0%
13 more holdings — each measured against the sector, with momentum and relative strengthUnlock with Premium

Emerging Markets vs the market — common questions

Is emerging markets outperforming the S&P 500?

Right now, no: over the past month EEM has underperformed the S&P 500 by 5.8 points. This page updates daily, so the answer reflects current market data rather than a dated article.

What is EEM?

EEM is iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF, the fund Zensei uses to measure the emerging markets group against the S&P 500 benchmark (SPY).

Which stocks are in EEM?

EEM's largest tracked positions are NU HOLDINGS LTD ORDINARY SHARES CLASS A, PDD HOLDINGS INC ADR, ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI PLC, CREDICORP LTD, SOUTHERN COPPER CORP — 18 holdings in total. The full list, with each stock measured against the group, is part of Zensei Premium.

What quadrant is emerging markets in right now?

As of the latest daily data, emerging markets is in the weakening quadrant — still ahead over the longer window, but behind the market over the past month. The quadrant rules are documented on the Zensei methodology page.

Related sectors

Track emerging markets against the whole market

Zensei Edge maps 100+ sectors and themes against the S&P 500 — with the stocks inside each one, rotation history and alerts when leadership changes hands.