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Weakening#107 of 115 by 1M spread

Steel vs the S&P 500 (SLX): is it outperforming?

Over the past month, SLX has underperformed the S&P 500 by 12.0 points. Here is where that puts it in the sector rotation — updated daily.

1M spread vs SPY
−12.0 pts
Quadrant
Weakening
Momentum
Weakening
RS health
Broken
Holdings P/E
20.9×

Where SLX sits on the rotation map

Steel highlighted against the 11 broad S&P 500 sectors. Vertical: 1-month spread vs the S&P 500. Horizontal: the longer, time-shifted window — the methodology explains the math.

SLX vs SPY: head-to-head returns

SLX (steel) and SPY (the S&P 500) side by side over every window Zensei tracks. The spread is the difference — positive means SLX won that window.

Window
SLX
SPY
Spread
1 week−1.2%−0.3%−0.9 pts
2 weeks−0.2%+2.8%−3.0 pts
1 month−10.8%+1.2%−12.0 pts
3 months−0.6%+9.5%−10.0 pts
6 months+10.4%+8.5%+1.9 pts
1 year+40.7%+21.4%+19.3 pts

Data as of 2026-07-13 · computed from daily adjusted closes · how we measure

The read

Steel (SLX) is losing its lead. It built a 3.3-point advantage over the S&P 500 across the longer, time-shifted window, but over the past month it has slipped 12.0 points behind the market — the weakening quadrant of the rotation map. Ranked by one-month spread, it currently stands #107 of the 115 groups Zensei tracks — among the market's weakest pockets right now.

On the shorter tape, SLX's momentum is weakening: the intraday trend that carried the move is cooling across the shorter windows. SLX's relative-strength line has broken below its long-term average — the long-term outperformance trend is no longer intact. Both signals point the same direction here: the market is not rewarding this group on either horizon.

The exposure comes via VanEck Steel ETF, whose 15 tracked holdings are led by BHP GROUP LTD ADR, VALE SA ADR and RIO TINTO PLC ADR. Weighted by portfolio, the fund's holdings trade at roughly 20.9× earnings and 1.5× sales. The thing to watch from here is whether this is a pause or a handoff: weakening groups sometimes reset and reclaim leadership, but a deepening one-month deficit usually means rotation has moved on.

What's inside SLX

Top 5 of 15 tracked holdings, by portfolio weight.

Holding
Weight
1M
BHPBHP GROUP LTD ADR
7.4%−10.4%
VALEVALE SA ADR
7.1%−9.8%
RIORIO TINTO PLC ADR
7.0%−14.7%
NUENUCOR CORP
6.4%−12.3%
STLDSTEEL DYNAMICS INC
5.5%−17.0%
10 more holdings — each measured against the sector, with momentum and relative strengthUnlock with Premium

Steel vs the market — common questions

Is steel outperforming the S&P 500?

Right now, no: over the past month SLX has underperformed the S&P 500 by 12.0 points. This page updates daily, so the answer reflects current market data rather than a dated article.

What is SLX?

SLX is VanEck Steel ETF, the fund Zensei uses to measure the steel group against the S&P 500 benchmark (SPY).

Which stocks are in SLX?

SLX's largest tracked positions are BHP GROUP LTD ADR, VALE SA ADR, RIO TINTO PLC ADR, NUCOR CORP, STEEL DYNAMICS INC — 15 holdings in total. The full list, with each stock measured against the group, is part of Zensei Premium.

What quadrant is steel in right now?

As of the latest daily data, steel is in the weakening quadrant — still ahead over the longer window, but behind the market over the past month. The quadrant rules are documented on the Zensei methodology page.

Related sectors

Track steel against the whole market

Zensei Edge maps 100+ sectors and themes against the S&P 500 — with the stocks inside each one, rotation history and alerts when leadership changes hands.