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Weakening#99 of 115 by 1M spread

Natural Gas vs the S&P 500 (UNG): is it outperforming?

Over the past month, UNG has underperformed the S&P 500 by 8.9 points. Here is where that puts it in the market rotation — updated daily.

1M spread vs SPY
−8.9 pts
Quadrant
Weakening
Momentum
Weakening
RS health
Broken
Holdings P/E

Where UNG sits on the rotation map

Natural Gas highlighted against the 11 broad S&P 500 sectors. Vertical: 1-month spread vs the S&P 500. Horizontal: the longer, time-shifted window — the methodology explains the math.

UNG vs SPY: head-to-head returns

UNG (natural gas) and SPY (the S&P 500) side by side over every window Zensei tracks. The spread is the difference — positive means UNG won that window.

Window
UNG
SPY
Spread
1 week−10.5%+0.6%−11.1 pts
2 weeks−8.0%+1.5%−9.4 pts
1 month−7.3%+1.6%−8.9 pts
3 months−0.4%+8.5%−8.9 pts
6 months+2.7%+9.5%−6.7 pts
1 year−31.2%+21.7%−52.9 pts

Data as of 2026-07-14 · computed from daily adjusted closes · how we measure

The read

Natural Gas (UNG) is losing its lead. It built a 0.7-point advantage over the S&P 500 across the longer, time-shifted window, but over the past month it has slipped 8.9 points behind the market — the weakening quadrant of the rotation map. Ranked by one-month spread, it currently stands #99 of the 115 groups Zensei tracks.

On the shorter tape, UNG's momentum is weakening: the intraday trend that carried the move is cooling across the shorter windows. UNG's relative-strength line has broken below its long-term average — the long-term outperformance trend is no longer intact. Both signals point the same direction here: the market is not rewarding this group on either horizon.

The thing to watch from here is whether this is a pause or a handoff: weakening groups sometimes reset and reclaim leadership, but a deepening one-month deficit usually means rotation has moved on.

Natural Gas vs the market — common questions

Is natural gas outperforming the S&P 500?

Right now, no: over the past month UNG has underperformed the S&P 500 by 8.9 points. This page updates daily, so the answer reflects current market data rather than a dated article.

What is UNG?

UNG is United States Natural Gas Fund, the fund Zensei uses to measure the natural gas group against the S&P 500 benchmark (SPY).

What quadrant is natural gas in right now?

As of the latest daily data, natural gas is in the weakening quadrant — still ahead over the longer window, but behind the market over the past month. The quadrant rules are documented on the Zensei methodology page.

Related sectors

Track natural gas against the whole market

Zensei Edge maps 100+ sectors and themes against the S&P 500 — with the stocks inside each one, rotation history and alerts when leadership changes hands.