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Lagging#103 of 115 by 1M spread

VIX Short Term Futures vs the S&P 500 (VXX): is it outperforming?

Over the past month, VXX has underperformed the S&P 500 by 11.2 points. Here is where that puts it in the market rotation — updated daily.

1M spread vs SPY
−11.2 pts
Quadrant
Lagging
Momentum
Weakening
RS health
Broken
Holdings P/E

Where VXX sits on the rotation map

VIX Short Term Futures highlighted against the 11 broad S&P 500 sectors. Vertical: 1-month spread vs the S&P 500. Horizontal: the longer, time-shifted window — the methodology explains the math.

VXX vs SPY: head-to-head returns

VXX (vix short term futures) and SPY (the S&P 500) side by side over every window Zensei tracks. The spread is the difference — positive means VXX won that window.

Window
VXX
SPY
Spread
1 week+1.4%−0.3%+1.7 pts
2 weeks−7.5%+2.8%−10.2 pts
1 month−9.9%+1.2%−11.2 pts
3 months−26.3%+9.5%−35.8 pts
6 months−17.8%+8.5%−26.4 pts
1 year−51.8%+21.4%−73.2 pts

Data as of 2026-07-13 · computed from daily adjusted closes · how we measure

The read

VIX Short Term Futures (VXX) is out of favor: it trails the S&P 500 on both rotation windows — 11.2 points behind over the past month and 26.3 points behind over the longer, time-shifted window. That is the lagging quadrant. Ranked by one-month spread, it currently stands #103 of the 115 groups Zensei tracks.

On the shorter tape, VXX's momentum is weakening: the intraday trend that carried the move is cooling across the shorter windows. VXX's relative-strength line has broken below its long-term average — the long-term outperformance trend is no longer intact. Both signals point the same direction here: the market is not rewarding this group on either horizon.

The thing to watch from here is the one-month spread: laggards only become interesting when the recent window turns positive first — until then, the market is voting elsewhere.

VIX Short Term Futures vs the market — common questions

Is vix short term futures outperforming the S&P 500?

Right now, no: over the past month VXX has underperformed the S&P 500 by 11.2 points. This page updates daily, so the answer reflects current market data rather than a dated article.

What is VXX?

VXX is iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN, the fund Zensei uses to measure the vix short term futures group against the S&P 500 benchmark (SPY).

What quadrant is vix short term futures in right now?

As of the latest daily data, vix short term futures is in the lagging quadrant — trailing the S&P 500 on both windows. The quadrant rules are documented on the Zensei methodology page.

Related sectors

Track vix short term futures against the whole market

Zensei Edge maps 100+ sectors and themes against the S&P 500 — with the stocks inside each one, rotation history and alerts when leadership changes hands.