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Improving#7 of 115 by 1M spread

Wheat vs the S&P 500 (WEAT): is it outperforming?

Over the past month, WEAT has outperformed the S&P 500 by 4.7 points. Here is where that puts it in the market rotation — updated daily.

1M spread vs SPY
+4.7 pts
Quadrant
Improving
Momentum
Strong
RS health
Strong
Holdings P/E

Where WEAT sits on the rotation map

Wheat highlighted against the 11 broad S&P 500 sectors. Vertical: 1-month spread vs the S&P 500. Horizontal: the longer, time-shifted window — the methodology explains the math.

WEAT vs SPY: head-to-head returns

WEAT (wheat) and SPY (the S&P 500) side by side over every window Zensei tracks. The spread is the difference — positive means WEAT won that window.

Window
WEAT
SPY
Spread
1 week+3.2%−0.3%+3.5 pts
2 weeks+6.7%+2.8%+4.0 pts
1 month+5.9%+1.2%+4.7 pts
3 months+6.7%+9.5%−2.8 pts
6 months+17.6%+8.5%+9.1 pts
1 year+5.2%+21.4%−16.3 pts

Data as of 2026-07-13 · computed from daily adjusted closes · how we measure

The read

Wheat (WEAT) has just turned the corner. Over the longer, time-shifted window it trailed the S&P 500 by 7.4 points, but over the past month it has moved decisively ahead of the market — a 4.7-point edge that puts it in the improving quadrant. Ranked by one-month spread, it currently stands #7 of the 115 groups Zensei tracks — inside the top tier of the market.

On the shorter tape, WEAT's momentum reads strong: the recent hourly trend is positive across every lookback Zensei measures. WEAT's relative-strength line — its price ratio against the S&P 500 — is trading above its moving averages, the healthiest configuration we track. The two signals agree — the short-term tape and the longer trend point the same way.

The thing to watch from here is confirmation: improving groups that hold a positive one-month spread long enough for the longer window to turn are the classic early-rotation entries — the ones that fail fall back quickly.

What's inside WEAT

Top 1 of 1 tracked holdings, by portfolio weight.

Holding
Weight
1M
FGTXXGOLDMAN SACHS FS GOVERNMENT INSTL
40.0%+0.3%

Wheat vs the market — common questions

Is wheat outperforming the S&P 500?

Right now, yes: over the past month WEAT has outperformed the S&P 500 by 4.7 points. This page updates daily, so the answer reflects current market data rather than a dated article.

What is WEAT?

WEAT is Teucrium Wheat Fund, the fund Zensei uses to measure the wheat group against the S&P 500 benchmark (SPY).

What quadrant is wheat in right now?

As of the latest daily data, wheat is in the improving quadrant — behind the market over the longer window, but ahead over the past month. The quadrant rules are documented on the Zensei methodology page.

Related sectors

Track wheat against the whole market

Zensei Edge maps 100+ sectors and themes against the S&P 500 — with the stocks inside each one, rotation history and alerts when leadership changes hands.